This page will disseminate opinions on topics from music, to televison, to movies, to sports, to whatever may be of interest to me at that moment in time. These opinions will absolutely be short-sighted, ill-informed, reactionary, exaggerated, or just flat out wrong. But they will absolutely be my opinions.

14.4.12

Matt Cain And The Beauty Of The Home Grown Star



When I heard Matt Cain signed a 6-year extension worth $112.5 million a few weeks ago, I didn’t blink. The total could have been $212.5 million and I wouldn’t have been perfectly happy with it. Cain might not be worth $112.5 million at the end of his deal when you look at the pure numbers.  That’s a Verlander/Halladay level contract, and by every statistical measure, Cain isn’t on that level. But to me personally, Cain was going to be worth whatever it took to keep him in San Francisco.

He’s worth it to me, because every cent I’ve spent on the Giants since 2005 can be traced back to watching him as a rookie and thinking “This guy is going to be something special”

***

I grew up raised as a Giants & A’s fan in equal parts, my father a die-hard A’s fan born and raised in Alameda, and my mother a Giants fan through-and-through growing up in San Francisco. Throughout my adolescent years I owned exactly two baseball jerseys: a Miguel Tejada A’s Jersey and a Jason Schmidt Giants jersey. I was crushed when the god-forsaken rally monkey defeated the Giants in 2002, and was similarly exasperated with the close-but-no-cigar finishes of the Moneyball A’s. There was never any favoritism toward one side or the other growing up.  Wins and losses by each team affected me equally.

2005 was a fairly grizzly year in my baseball fandom. The A’s were still competitive, but finished a distant 2nd in their division and 7 games out of the playoffs. Add to the fact that 2 of my favorite players from the moneyball A’s, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder, had been jettisoned the previous offseason and I wasn’t terribly excited about Athletics baseball. Meanwhile, across the bay, the house of cards built around Barry Bonds and his magical flaxseed oil completely collapsed in 2005.  Bonds only played 14 games in 2005 because of various injuries, and the team predictably flailed for the entirety of the season, finishing 75-87, 16 games worse than the year before. My interest in baseball that summer was waning.

Then, at some point early in that summer, I started hearing about a young pitcher for the Giants that was making noise in the minors. They said he was a big strong kid with an upper 90’s fastball, and he was only 20 years old. He was being hailed as a future star, and I was intrigued. He then came up in August that year and looked like he would hold up his end of the bargain, pitching like a stud in 7 starts. Fans really started to get their hopes up that he might be legit. I was one of them.

***
 
2006 didn’t start off well for the prodigal son.  He started off 1-5 through 7 seven starts with an ERA north of 7, and was sent to the bullpen to get his mind cleared. From May 10-20th he didn’t make a single start and only one bullpen appearance in between. Then on May 21st, he was inserted back into the starting rotation for a game against the Oakland Athletics.  I just so happened to be attending that game with my father for his birthday.  Cain’s first pitch of the game registered 97 on the radar gun, and prompted my dad to ask in a slightly bewildered tone “Holy crap, who the hell is this guy?”  As the game went on, my father and everyone else in attendance got a healthy introduction to Matt Cain, the pitching phenom, as he hurled a complete game one-hitter.

From that point on, I was absolutely hooked.  Cain immediately became one of my favorite big leaguers, and by proxy the Giants fortunes started to take on greater importance to me.  I wanted the team do well, but mostly because I wanted Cain to do well. To this day I still root for the A’s to do well and get frustrated by their troubles and enjoy when they win, but those results didn’t just affect me the same way the Giants’ did.

***

As the years have passed since Cain’s ascension to the top of the Giants pitching staff, defending him to the masses has been a favorite pastime of Giants fans, myself included.  It seemed that despite his durability and consistency and elite ERA and WHIP, many people not well versed in Giants baseball wanted to discredit his achievements. Many old-school baseball writers looked at his unimpressive Won-Loss record and deduced that Cain wasn’t a “winner” therefore his stats were meaningless, not realizing that the Giants offense was particularly brutal in his starts for many years, eventually giving berth to the saying “getting Cained” whenever a Giants pitcher had a superb outing but was not rewarded with any offensive support whatsoever.

Conversely, the advanced stat geeks wouldn’t accept Cain’s work either. While they agree that W-L is a horrible way to judge a pitcher, sabermetricians looked at Cain’s numbers and saw a flyball pitcher who surprisingly gives up very few homeruns and thought he was just supremely lucky.  What they didn’t realize was Cain’s biggest weapon is his fastball command, and the entire Giants staff specializes in never giving into hitters and forcing them to hit their pitch, no matter the count.  That’s why the whole giants staff walks a few more batters than the league average, but also generates much weaker contact on the whole. By rarely giving batters easy pitches, even in hitters counts, Cain’s reduced his homerun total while remaining a fly ball pitcher.  It wasn’t luck, it was skill.  People just needed to see it in action instead of just looking at the numbers.

***

Cain’s complete game one-hitter yesterday was, for all intents and purposes, the best start of his career. He was dominant from the get go, with 11K’s and no walks, the only hit an opposite field slap-single by the pitcher Jason McDonald.  Cain was special yesterday, and there is no way anyone could’ve seen the game or the boxscore and think anything else, and because its Cain it means even more.

Cain has a special place in every Giant’s fan heart at this point. Sure, the giants are now flush with homegrown talent all over the place, but Cain was the first of this group.  Before Cain, it had been years since the Giants developed a true star, so every fan’s hopes were riding on him to be the one that turned things around from the dark days of the late-bonds/post-bonds era.  We saw the 20 year-old rookie who wasn’t old enough to drink a celebratory beer after his first career win. We saw the maturing Ace who was learning to make his prodigious gifts work together and reach his full potential.  We saw the silent assassin who refused to lose in the 2010 postseason, not allowing a single earned run the entire playoffs on his way to a World Series ring.  We saw the country kid from Germantown, Tennessee sign the richest contract ever given to a right-handed pitcher, and not have a single giants fan say one bad thing about the deal.

And yesterday we saw Cain, the longest tenured Giant, have the best start of his career, on the home opener, in front of 43,000+ fans who were ready to donate him organs if need be. And we were able to smile comfortably, knowing that Cain is guaranteed to be in a Giants uniform for the next 6 years.  We got to see the young guy grow up, and now we get to see him grow old, all in the same orange and black. That’s worth any price tag.

1.4.12

The Talkin' Reckless 2012 MLB Season Preview Part Two: NL West


To celebrate the start of the baseball season, I'm rolling out a massive, multi-part preview that will contain so many predictions and proclamations I will either be hailed as a genius or a moron by the end of the season (the smart money is on moron). How many parts, i don't quite know yet, but I will cover every division in the league and predict all of the major awards. You can read Part 1 here. Enjoy!


Since 2006, the NL West has probably been the most competitive, balanced division in all of baseball. In the past 6 seasons, 4 of the 5 NL West teams have won at least one division crown, and the only team that hasn’t, the Colorado Rockies, have won the Wild Card twice in the same span. Two teams have played in the World Series, and 4 of the 5 teams (Col, SF, ARI, LAD) have played in the NLCS.  The San Francisco Giants went from 4th in 2008 to 1st in 2010. Arizona went from last in 2010, to Division champ in 2011.  Over the last 6 seasons, Colorado, San Francisco, Arizona, and San Diego have each averaged between 79 & 81 wins a year. Four teams separated by an average of 2 games a season. Year in and year out, the NL West gives MLB surprising storylines and compelling pennant races.  It also makes a fool out of anyone trying to predict exactly what is going to happen in this upside down division.  Lucky for you, the potential to look stupid has never stopped me before, so here’s how 2012 will shake out in the NL West: