This page will disseminate opinions on topics from music, to televison, to movies, to sports, to whatever may be of interest to me at that moment in time. These opinions will absolutely be short-sighted, ill-informed, reactionary, exaggerated, or just flat out wrong. But they will absolutely be my opinions.

19.3.12

Peyton Manning, Alex Smith, and the Suddenly Intriguing 49ers QB Situation


 

Earlier this morning, it was reported by Chris Mortensen of ESPN that Peyton Manning has chosen to sign with the Denver Broncos, finally bringing a conclusion to his seemingly never ending “The Bachelor” style competition to find out which team will have the honor of paying him $18 million a year, or $1.125 million per game. That opening sentence smacks of bitterness because, well, I am a bit bitter. 


I’ve written here before that I’m not the biggest Alex Smith fan and that an upgrade at QB is necessary for this team to reach its dynastic potential. Peyton Manning, bionic neck or not, is a clear upgrade from Alex Smith. From a purely football perspective, the 49ers were easily the best fit of any team for Manning. They had the best defense of any of the three finalists (SF, Denver, Tennessee), the best receiving core after the additions of Randy Moss and Mario Manningham, and the best running game to take pressure off of him. While they couldn’t offer him the biggest contract, their offer could’ve been at least competitive. For a player of Manning’s stature and reputation, where winning is supposed to be the most important thing to him, his decision to choose a clearly inferior team in Denver is disappointing, and not just because of my allegiance to the Red & Gold. Manning bailing on a team that is only a QB short of being scarily dominant for a few more dollars or, if the rumors are to be believed, because he was afraid of playing against his brother in the playoffs forces one to reevaluate if winning is truly his #1 priority.

Still, while I’m not pleased with Manning’s choice, I’m by no means crestfallen over this turn of events. Up until Friday, there was no knowledge that the 49ers had any interest in Manning whatsoever, so I’d already accepted the fact that Manning would not be taking snaps in Candlestick Park next year. From a 49er fan perspective, the most interesting part of this Manning decision has nothing to do with Manning himself, but instead it’s the inside look this episode gave the public into San Francisco’s thought process when it comes to its QB situation.

All last year and into the off-season, everything that came out of Jim Harbaugh’s mouth about Alex Smith was obscenely positive and complimentary. Harbaugh repeatedly called Alex a Pro-Bowl caliber player and that he is one of the elite QB’s in the league. This opinion seemed to be the consensus throughout organization, as there was absolutely no indication of any interest in any of the potential free agents or draft prospects at the QB position. When San Francisco’s interest in Manning became public, as well as the terms of the contract offer to Alex Smith, the perception of Smith being “The Guy” was completely shattered.

What this Manning circus has brought to light is that Colin Kaepernick is the organization's choice as QB of the future, not Alex Smith. Manning was the perfect guy for them, since he’d in all likelihood be no more than a 2-3 year experiment, after which, Kaepernick would have sufficient seasoning to take over the reins. The contract offer extended to Alex Smith supports this theory as well. The terms of the proposed deal were 3 years for $24 million with only $10 million guaranteed. Part of the reason Alex dragged his feet in signing this deal was because he was miffed that after all this public support and talk that he was a Pro-Bowl caliber QB, that they offered him a deal only $1.5 million a year more than what Matt Flynn just signed in Seattle, a QB who has started a grand total of 2 games in 4 years. The answer is that instead of a cornerstone, the 49ers view Alex Smith as a stop gap, hence the deal only being for 3 years and containing only 10 million in guaranteed money, making it very easy financially to part ways with Smith if Kaepernick forced the issue a year or 2 early. It was very easy to see that Harbaugh and Baalke were high on Colin on draft day, as they traded up in the 2nd round to grab him, but with all the accolades heaped on Smith throughout the season, that fact got shuffled into the background.

In retrospect, it was inevitable that Alex Smith would not be the organization’s long term choice to run the offense. Quarterback is a position already held in high esteem amongst football fans, but in San Francisco it is a position of royalty.  49ers fans were raised watching the best Quarterback in NFL history and four Super Bowl victories then saw him pass the baton on to one of the five best Quarterbacks ever and another Super Bowl victory. When fans think of the 49ers glory days, it always starts with the West Coast Offense and their prolific passing offense. No matter how hard he worked, no matter how loyal he is, Alex Smith will never live up to those standards. Whether he signs the current contract offered to him or decides he’s had enough and signs with the MiamiDolphins, his days in a 49er uniform are numbered. The 49ers are looking for the next Montana or Young, and while the jury is out on whether that is Colin Kaepernick, the results are in on Alex. Sometimes, no matter how much hard work and dedication you put into it, the shoes are just too damn big to fill.

1 comment:

YouTired said...

Good post. I would add one point. From a coaching standpoint, I don't know that they are concerned about filling Montana's & Young's shoes. i think the point is that hard work simply allows you to maximize your innate talent; it doesn't allow you to materialize talent out of thin air. Alex Smith simply doesn't have the ability to release quickly, throw with power, throw with touch, and throw with accuracy that the most elite quarterbacks have. He has speed, he has smarts, he has toughness and he makes the most of what he has. That might be enough to bring a Super Bowl to SF (he's better than Kerry Collins) but it isn't enough to enter the pantheon of Montana, Young, or even Manning.)